Gillingham vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Gillingham v Newport County — Team-Based Signals
Gillingham vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Gillingham 3-2 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics
Gillingham nicked a narrow win over Newport County 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Gillingham as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, Gillingham had 56% of the ball to Newport County's 44%, shots finished 20-22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newport County led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gillingham and 1.67 for Newport County.
Gillingham vs Newport County Result & Final Score
Gillingham 3 - 2 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Gillingham vs Newport County Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 61%, draw 23%, Newport County 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gillingham) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.