Libertad 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-14.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+12.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.39/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.28
-15% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 73%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 0.37
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
420 Passes 180
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
23.08.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad CSA
20.08.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
16.08.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano CSA
26.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
12.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 4-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
2-0
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad saw off Sportivo Ameliano 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Libertad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Libertad had 49% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 51%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Libertad and 0.67 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Libertad 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Libertad 39%, draw 28%, Sportivo Ameliano 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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