Barrow vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Barrow v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals
Barrow vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Barrow 0-1 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics
Harrogate Town shaded a tight game against Barrow 1-0 on the road.
A gentle 45% lean on Barrow didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The market had leaned harder still (1.75, ~57%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (58%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 55% to 45% in Barrow's favour, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.77 to 0.48 — on chances, Barrow could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Barrow against 0.67 for Harrogate Town.
Barrow vs Harrogate Town Result & Final Score
Barrow 0-1 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Barrow vs Harrogate Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Barrow 45%, draw 28%, Harrogate Town 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barrow) went the other way.