Crewe Alexandra vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Crewe Alexandra v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals
Crewe Alexandra vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics
Fleetwood Town found just enough to beat Crewe Alexandra 1-0 away from home.
We leaned Crewe Alexandra at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 52% to 48% in Crewe Alexandra's favour, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.39 to 1.69 — on chances created, Fleetwood Town won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Crewe Alexandra against 1.83 for Fleetwood Town.
Crewe Alexandra vs Fleetwood Town Result & Final Score
Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Crewe Alexandra vs Fleetwood Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 42%, draw 25%, Fleetwood Town 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.