Salford City 1-3 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2026

Salford City
1-3 HT 0-1
Newport County
📅17/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Salford City vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.18
Over
55%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
25%
3.97
2-3
38%
1.82
4-5
25%
2.9
6+
12%
8.87
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.97 — our 25% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.63
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.25
X/1
18%
3.79
X/2
4%
15.35
X/X
8%
7.02
2/1
11%
21.65
2/2
6%
13.1
2/X
7%
22.05
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Salford City v Newport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Salford City The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County The Market 16%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.77 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.81
0.83 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.81
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
335 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 64%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
22.7 Crosses 13.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Salford City vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Newport County
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 1.05
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
310 Passes 176
72% Pass Accuracy 60%
26 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2025 Newport County Newport County 0-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
28.01.2025 Salford City Salford City 1-1 HT 1-1 Newport County Newport County İN2
01.10.2024 Newport County Newport County 3-1 HT 2-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
20.04.2024 Newport County Newport County 0-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
30.09.2023 Salford City Salford City 2-1 HT 2-1 Newport County Newport County İN2
04.03.2023 Salford City Salford City 3-1 HT 1-1 Newport County Newport County İN2

Salford City 1-3 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
1-3
AWAY Newport County
1.21 xG 1.11
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
248 Passes 114
69% Pass Accuracy 50%
43 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Salford City vs Newport County
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Newport County took care of Salford City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Salford City carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Small consolation: at 1.37 (roughly 73%) the price was further off than we were. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Salford City had 63% of the ball to Newport County's 37%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.21 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Salford City and 1.00 for Newport County.

Salford City vs Newport County Result & Final Score

Salford City 1-3 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Salford City vs Newport County Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Salford City 65%, draw 21%, Newport County 14%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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