Salford City 1-1 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Jan 2025

Salford City
1-1 HT 1-1
Newport County
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Salford City vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.92
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.05
X/1
21%
3.94
X/2
12%
11.3
X/X
9%
5.76
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
9%
9.37
2/X
9%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salford City v Newport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.35/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.53
-6% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 66%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
19.0 Crosses 13.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Salford City vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Newport County
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
351 Passes 202
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2024 Newport County Newport County 3-1 HT 2-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
20.04.2024 Newport County Newport County 0-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
30.09.2023 Salford City Salford City 2-1 HT 2-1 Newport County Newport County İN2
04.03.2023 Salford City Salford City 3-1 HT 1-1 Newport County Newport County İN2
16.08.2022 Newport County Newport County 2-3 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
08.01.2022 Newport County Newport County 0-2 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2

Salford City 1-1 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
1-1
AWAY Newport County
2.27 xG 1.23
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
254 Passes 115
66% Pass Accuracy 49%
32 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Newport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City and Newport County couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Salford City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Salford City had 63% of the ball to Newport County's 37%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.27 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Salford City and 1.17 for Newport County.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Newport County?

Salford City 1-1 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Newport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Salford City 51%, draw 23%, Newport County 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salford City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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