Dungannon Swifts 1-4 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Feb 2026

📅17/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
61%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.9
1/X
5%
17.15
X/1
7%
10.4
X/2
21%
4.07
X/X
10%
5.42
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.05
2/X
4%
15.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.9 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.0pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.0pp
61%
Away Win
58%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.16/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.64
+9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +52%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Linfield FC
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
10.02.2026 Linfield FC Linfield FC 6-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
10.08.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
12.04.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.03.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
17.12.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
17.08.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC swept aside Dungannon Swifts 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 3.00 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield FC?

Dungannon Swifts 1-4 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 21%, draw 18%, Linfield FC 61%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
17 Feb 2026
22:45 Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC Analysis →