Ballymena United 2-0 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Feb 2026

📅17/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.7
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1 EV+ ✓
26%
4.79
X/2
11%
7.44
X/X
11%
5.15
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
11%
5.31
2/X
8%
13.9
Value flag · X/1 at 4.79 — our 26% vs market 16.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.12/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.20
-32% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-2 HT 1-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
20.09.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
15.02.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
26.10.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
20.08.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-4 HT 2-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United got the better of Crusaders FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ballymena United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballymena United and 2.00 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?

Ballymena United 2-0 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 46%, draw 25%, Crusaders FC 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballymena United) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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