Ballymena United 2-2 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
41%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
2.78
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
20%
4.76
X/2 EV+ ✗
19%
7.31
X/X
8%
4.96
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
15%
5.38
2/X
5%
14.3
Value flag · X/2 at 7.31 — our 19% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
40%
Away Win
27%
+13.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-16% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
0.88/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.15
-39% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Crusaders FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
15.02.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
26.10.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
20.08.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-4 HT 2-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
13.10.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United and Crusaders FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ballymena United and 1.83 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?

Ballymena United 2-2 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 38%, draw 21%, Crusaders FC 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crusaders FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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