Carrick Rangers 1-2 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.57
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.54
X/2
6%
7.89
X/X
15%
5.1
2/1
8%
23.55
2/2
12%
5.99
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.02/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.67
-39% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.10.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
05.04.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 4-1 HT 3-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
08.03.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
09.11.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
07.09.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
06.01.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-1 HT 1-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRK
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC squeezed past Carrick Rangers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Carrick Rangers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Carrick Rangers and 0.83 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC?

Carrick Rangers 1-2 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 48%, draw 28%, Portadown FC 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5
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