Benfica U23 4-2 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 17 Feb 2026

📅17/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 27%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.75/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.30
+6% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 0-1 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
21.08.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
02.04.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
23.01.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 2-2 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
01.11.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
20.08.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
4-2
AWAY Sporting CP U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 got the better of Sporting CP U23 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 53% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 47%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Benfica U23 and 1.17 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Benfica U23 4-2 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 49%, draw 23%, Sporting CP U23 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ BTTS Yes
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