Alessandria 0-1 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.23
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.7pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.8pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alessandria EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
0.77/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.17
-30% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alessandria
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Renate
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-2 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
16.11.2022 Alessandria Alessandria 0-2 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTCK
18.03.2021 Alessandria Alessandria 2-0 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
21.11.2020 Renate Renate 2-1 HT 1-0 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
18.01.2020 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 1-0 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
08.09.2019 Alessandria Alessandria 1-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alessandria
0-1
AWAY Renate
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alessandria vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate edged past Alessandria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 35% / 37% — and on the day Renate made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Alessandria had 54% of the ball to Renate's 46%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alessandria and 0.83 for Renate.

What was the final score of Alessandria vs Renate?

Alessandria 0-1 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alessandria vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alessandria 28%, draw 35%, Renate 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renate), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Renate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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