17/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Albenga vs Sanremese Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
45%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
46%
Home Win
44%
25%
Draw
26%
29%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Albenga v Sanremese — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Albenga
The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sanremese
The Market 33%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-46% /
-46%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
-9%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+18%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
297 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
243 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Albenga vs Sanremese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Albenga and Sanremese fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Albenga at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Albenga vs Sanremese?
Albenga 0-0 Sanremese in the Italy - Serie D on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Albenga vs Sanremese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Albenga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Albenga 46%, draw 25%, Sanremese 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Albenga) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Albenga)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
17 Mar 2024