Tivoli 1-1 Atletico Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tivoli The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ascoli The Market 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tivoli
1-1
AWAY Atletico Ascoli
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Tivoli vs Atletico Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tivoli and Atletico Ascoli shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Tivoli had 41% of the ball to Atletico Ascoli's 59%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Tivoli vs Atletico Ascoli?

Tivoli 1-1 Atletico Ascoli in the Italy - Serie D on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tivoli vs Atletico Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tivoli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tivoli 39%, draw 29%, Atletico Ascoli 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tivoli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tivoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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