Orvietana Calcio vs Poggibonsi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orvietana Calcio v Poggibonsi — Team-Based Signals
Poggibonsi ran out comfortable winners over Orvietana Calcio 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Orvietana Calcio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Orvietana Calcio vs Poggibonsi?
Orvietana Calcio 1-4 Poggibonsi in the Italy - Serie D on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orvietana Calcio vs Poggibonsi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orvietana Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Orvietana Calcio 41%, draw 35%, Poggibonsi 24%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.