17/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Bra vs Gozzano Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
37%
4-5
18%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
40%
31%
Draw
28%
32%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bra v Gozzano — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bra
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gozzano
The Market 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-22% /
-22%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+49%
/
-41%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
256 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
268 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bra vs Gozzano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bra squeezed past Gozzano 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Bra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Bra vs Gozzano?
Bra 1-0 Gozzano in the Italy - Serie D on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bra vs Gozzano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bra 38%, draw 31%, Gozzano 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Bra)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
17 Mar 2024