17/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Martina Franca vs Team Altamura Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
49%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
37%
Home Win
40%
29%
Draw
23%
34%
Away Win
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Martina Franca v Team Altamura — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Martina Franca
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Team Altamura
The Market 40%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
7
Corners
6
299 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
417 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Martina Franca vs Team Altamura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Martina Franca beat Team Altamura 2-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Martina Franca found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Martina Franca vs Team Altamura?
Martina Franca 2-0 Team Altamura in the Italy - Serie D on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Martina Franca vs Team Altamura?
Before kick-off our model rated a Martina Franca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Martina Franca 37%, draw 29%, Team Altamura 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Martina Franca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Martina Franca)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
17 Mar 2024