17/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
2-0
Mezzolara vs Corticella Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
40%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
50%
Home Win
80%
24%
Draw
13%
26%
Away Win
7%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mezzolara v Corticella — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mezzolara
The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Corticella
The Market 9%
-89% /
-89%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+34% /
+34%
0.00/2.97
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
-100%
/
-62%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-3%
/
+28%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
474 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
272 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Mezzolara vs Corticella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mezzolara saw off Corticella 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mezzolara as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Mezzolara vs Corticella?
Mezzolara 2-0 Corticella in the Italy - Serie D on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mezzolara vs Corticella?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mezzolara win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mezzolara 50%, draw 24%, Corticella 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mezzolara), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Mezzolara)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İTD
More Italy - Serie D
17 Mar 2024