Calcio Certaldo 2-0 Pistoiese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
37%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Calcio Certaldo The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pistoiese The Market 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Calcio Certaldo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pistoiese
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
05.11.2023 Pistoiese Pistoiese 1-0 Calcio Certaldo İTD
POST-MATCH Calcio Certaldo vs Pistoiese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Calcio Certaldo beat Pistoiese 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Calcio Certaldo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Calcio Certaldo vs Pistoiese?

Calcio Certaldo 2-0 Pistoiese in the Italy - Serie D on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Calcio Certaldo vs Pistoiese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Calcio Certaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Calcio Certaldo 46%, draw 29%, Pistoiese 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Calcio Certaldo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Calcio Certaldo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTD More Italy - Serie D
17 Mar 2024
16:30 Mezzolara vs Corticella Analysis →
16:30 CynthiAlbalonga vs Atletico Uri Analysis →
16:30 Tivoli vs Atletico Ascoli Analysis →
16:30 Orvietana Calcio vs Poggibonsi Analysis →
16:30 Bra vs Gozzano Analysis →
17:00 Martina Franca vs Team Altamura Analysis →