Sansepolcro 0-1 Sangiovannese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No Pick
59%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
45%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
46%
-10.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
29%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sansepolcro The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sangiovannese The Market 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sansepolcro vs Sangiovannese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sangiovannese nicked a narrow win over Sansepolcro 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Sangiovannese made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Sansepolcro vs Sangiovannese?

Sansepolcro 0-1 Sangiovannese in the Italy - Serie D on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sansepolcro vs Sangiovannese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sangiovannese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sansepolcro 36%, draw 25%, Sangiovannese 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sangiovannese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sangiovannese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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