Clermont 2-1 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 35% vs market 32.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.03
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
13%
5.44
X/2
13%
5.27
X/X
18%
3.95
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.85
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.43/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.80
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
19.6 Crosses 23.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Le Havre
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 0.88
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
523 Passes 280
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 2-1 HT 2-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
17.04.2021 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
14.12.2020 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
13.12.2019 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
13.08.2019 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FRLK
28.01.2019 Clermont Clermont 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
2-1
AWAY Le Havre
1.14 xG 1.20
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
242 Passes 392
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont edged past Le Havre 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Clermont made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Clermont had 40% of the ball to Le Havre's 60%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.14 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Clermont and 0.83 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Le Havre?

Clermont 2-1 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Clermont 32%, draw 31%, Le Havre 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Le Havre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024
15:00 Brest vs Lille Analysis →
17:00 Reims vs Metz Analysis →
17:00 Monaco vs Lorient Analysis →
19:05 Rennes vs Marsilya Analysis →
22:45 Montpellier vs PSG Analysis →