Monaco 2-2 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 17 Mar 2024

Monaco
2-2 HT 1-1
Lorient
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Monaco vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.51
2-3 Goals
34%
2.01
4-5 Goals
30%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.65
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.45
X/1
21%
3.73
X/2
8%
15.05
X/X
9%
7.58
2/1
8%
20.0
2/2
10%
10.7
2/X
9%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-17.6pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.0pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monaco v Lorient — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +17%
1.64/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.71
+1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.3 Crosses 11.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Monaco vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Lorient
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.68 xG 0.92
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
475 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Lorient Lorient 2-2 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
16.04.2023 Monaco Monaco 3-1 HT 2-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
11.01.2023 Lorient Lorient 2-2 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
13.02.2022 Monaco Monaco 0-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
13.08.2021 Lorient Lorient 1-0 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
14.02.2021 Monaco Monaco 2-2 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR1

Monaco 2-2 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
2-2
AWAY Lorient
2.65 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 8
386 Passes 331
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
47 Box Touches 37
26 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monaco vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco and Lorient couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Monaco at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Monaco had 52% of the ball to Lorient's 48%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.65 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monaco and 1.33 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Monaco vs Lorient?

Monaco 2-2 Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Monaco 49%, draw 25%, Lorient 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monaco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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