Rennes 2-0 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 17 Mar 2024

Rennes
2-0 HT 1-0
Marsilya
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Rennes vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.7
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.65
X/2
12%
5.54
X/X
9%
4.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
28.0
2/2
14%
3.59
2/X
9%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rennes v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.69/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.25
+17% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.4 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Rennes vs Marsilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Marsilya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 1.09
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
359 Passes 392
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Rennes Rennes 1-1 HT 0-1 Marsilya Marsilya FRK
03.12.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 2-0 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
05.03.2023 Rennes Rennes 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
20.01.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 1-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FRK
18.09.2022 Marsilya Marsilya 1-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
14.05.2022 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 2-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1

Rennes 2-0 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
2-0
AWAY Marsilya
1.36 xG 0.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 442
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Marsilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes got the better of Marsilya 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Rennes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rennes had 43% of the ball to Marsilya's 57%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.36 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rennes and 1.00 for Marsilya.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Marsilya?

Rennes 2-0 Marsilya in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Marsilya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rennes 39%, draw 28%, Marsilya 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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