Fenerbahçe 4-1 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
75%
1.3
Draw
14%
5.0
Away
11%
6.93
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
2.38
Over
67%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.8
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.19
2-3
42%
1.96
4-5
32%
2.58
6+
11%
6.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1.5
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
3%
19.6
X/1
21%
3.87
X/2
4%
17.15
X/X
8%
8.23
2/1
3%
19.8
2/2
6%
13.8
2/X
3%
22.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fenerbahçe The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK The Market 14%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.69 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.91
0.87 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.33
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
423 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
34 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.44 xG 0.77
55% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
325 Passes 303
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2026 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-4 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TÜK
27.10.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-4 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
26.04.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-3 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
27.02.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-4 HT 0-3 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TÜK
02.12.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-1 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
07.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-2 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
4 - 1
AWAY Gaziantep FK
2.79 xG 1.32
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 7
507 Passes 256
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fenerbahçe ran out comfortable winners over Gaziantep FK 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 64% to 36% in Fenerbahçe's favour, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.79 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.33 a game for Fenerbahçe against 0.50 for Gaziantep FK.

Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK Result & Final Score

Fenerbahçe 4 - 1 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 75%, draw 14%, Gaziantep FK 11%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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