Azul Claro Numazu 1-3 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
1-3
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo saw off Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Consadole Sapporo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 51% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 49%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Consadole Sapporo?

Azul Claro Numazu 1-3 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - League Cup on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 40%, draw 26%, Consadole Sapporo 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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