Grulla Morioka 0-1 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.71
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
45%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
18%
+12.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
45%
Away Win
61%
-15.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
0-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka edged past Grulla Morioka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cerezo Osaka as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 33% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 67%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Grulla Morioka 0-1 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - League Cup on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 30%, draw 25%, Cerezo Osaka 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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