Omiya Ardija 0-2 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 52%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.82/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.31
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
02.07.2016 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
10.04.2016 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-2 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP
23.03.2016 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
29.11.2014 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP
21.05.2014 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-2 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
08.03.2014 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-2 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
0-2
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus got the better of Omiya Ardija 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nagoya Grampus as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 51% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 49%, shots finished 4-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Omiya Ardija and 1.17 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Nagoya Grampus?

Omiya Ardija 0-2 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - League Cup on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 30%, draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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