Kagoshima United 0-1 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.12
6+ Goals
11%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
207 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
0-1
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy nicked a narrow win over Kagoshima United 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Tokyo Verdy made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 61% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 39%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Tokyo Verdy?

Kagoshima United 0-1 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - League Cup on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 39%, draw 27%, Tokyo Verdy 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kagoshima United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JLK More Japan - League Cup
17 Apr 2024
12:00 Grulla Morioka vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
12:30 Vanraure Hachinohe vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
13:00 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Jubilo Iwata Analysis →
13:00 Azul Claro Numazu vs Consadole Sapporo Analysis →
13:00 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Machida Zelvia Analysis →
13:00 Omiya Ardija vs Nagoya Grampus Analysis →