Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 62%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2021 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-1 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
30.05.2021 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
30.09.2020 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-1 HT 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
15.08.2020 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-1 HT 2-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-2
AWAY Machida Zelvia
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia nicked a narrow win over Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 37% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 63%, shots finished 9-21.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Giravanz Kitakyushu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 0.75 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Machida Zelvia?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - League Cup on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 27%, draw 22%, Machida Zelvia 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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