Las Vegas Lights vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Vegas Lights v Chattanooga Red Wolves — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights 2-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights and Chattanooga Red Wolves shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
This one beat our numbers. Las Vegas Lights carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 70% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 30%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.50 to 1.21.
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Las Vegas Lights 2-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - Open Cup on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 59%, draw 22%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) went the other way.