Gagra 2-2 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.07/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.15
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
281 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
03.08.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
24.04.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
01.03.2025 Gagra Gagra 1-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
27.11.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
22.09.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-3 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
2-2
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra and Torpedo Kutaisi shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Kutaisi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gagra had 42% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 58%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gagra and 2.17 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Gagra 2-2 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gagra 31%, draw 25%, Torpedo Kutaisi 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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