Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
17%
+11.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.73/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.96
-15% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Gagra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Gagra Gagra 1-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
27.11.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
22.09.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-3 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
24.05.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
07.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
29.10.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-2 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
2-1
AWAY Gagra
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi nicked a narrow win over Gagra 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 49% of the ball to Gagra's 51%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.50 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?

Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 46%, draw 25%, Gagra 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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