Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 25%
+14% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.75/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.68
-7% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Gagra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
01.03.2025 Gagra Gagra 1-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
27.11.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
22.09.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-3 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
24.05.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
07.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
2-1
AWAY Gagra
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi squeezed past Gagra 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 56% of the ball to Gagra's 44%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.50 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?

Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 50%, draw 25%, Gagra 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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