Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.60/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.97
+16% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
04.07.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
03.05.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
15.03.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
22.02.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-2 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITSK
01.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
1-1
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius and Banga Gargzdai couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 59% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 41%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.00 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?

Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 49%, draw 29%, Banga Gargzdai 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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