Banga Gargzdai 2-0 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 56%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -30%
1.35/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.91
+23% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
22.02.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-2 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITSK
01.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
26.06.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
01.05.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
13.03.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-4 HT 1-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai got the better of Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 2.17 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Banga Gargzdai 2-0 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 33%, draw 24%, Zalgiris Vilnius 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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