Lugano 4-0 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 17 May 2026

Lugano
4 - 0 HT 2 - 0
Basel
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Lugano vs Basel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.53
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
26%
2.96
Over Pick
74%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
12%
6.52
2-3
37%
2.13
4-5
34%
2.4
6+
17%
4.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.82
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
18%
4.42
X/2
6%
11.6
X/X
9%
7.58
2/1
4%
17.55
2/2
9%
7.82
2/X
4%
16.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Lugano v Basel — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lugano The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel The Market 21%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
0.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.45
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Lugano vs Basel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Basel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.30 xG 2.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
370 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.02.2026 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 1-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
09.11.2025 Basel Basel 0-1 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
10.08.2025 Lugano Lugano 3-1 HT 2-0 Basel Basel İSV
10.05.2025 Lugano Lugano 2-5 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
06.04.2025 Basel Basel 2-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
19.01.2025 Lugano Lugano 2-2 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV

Lugano 4-0 Basel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
4 - 0
AWAY Basel
1.31 xG 1.32
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
400 Passes 331
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Lugano vs Basel
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lugano ran out comfortable winners over Basel 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (74%) came in, both teams to score (63%) didn't.

On the day, Lugano had 53% of the ball to Basel's 47%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.31 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lugano and 1.83 for Basel.

Lugano vs Basel Result & Final Score

Lugano 4 - 0 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lugano vs Basel Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Lugano 65%, draw 17%, Basel 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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