Municipal 4-1 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.75
Over
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.05
No
49%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
36%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC The Market 18%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
2.02/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.22
+12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Xelaju MC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2026 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
29.01.2026 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
03.11.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-3 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
24.08.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
30.03.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
27.01.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
4-1
AWAY Xelaju MC
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Municipal vs Xelaju MC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Municipal made light work of Xelaju MC 4-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.69, roughly 59%.

By the numbers, Municipal had 62% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 38%, shots finished 18-3.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Municipal and 0.83 for Xelaju MC.

Municipal vs Xelaju MC Result & Final Score

Municipal 4-1 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Municipal vs Xelaju MC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Municipal 61%, draw 23%, Xelaju MC 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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