Xelaju MC 3-1 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
30%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.0pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-10.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
0.70/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.82
-42% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Municipal
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
29.01.2026 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
03.11.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-3 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
24.08.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
30.03.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
27.01.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
10.11.2024 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC saw off Municipal 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and on the day Xelaju MC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Xelaju MC and 1.33 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Municipal?

Xelaju MC 3-1 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 36%, draw 34%, Municipal 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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