Lechia Gdansk 1-2 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 17 May 2026

Lechia Gdansk
1-2 HT 0-1
Legia Varşova
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Varşova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
27%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.96
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
11%
12.45
X/1
14%
5.09
X/2
8%
6.8
X/X
8%
4.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.95
2/2
18%
4.64
2/X
5%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.3pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lechia Gdansk v Legia Varşova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -9%
1.79/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.28
+31% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
20.5 Crosses 19.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Varşova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 1.78
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
285 Passes 389
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 38
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-2 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
21.04.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 1-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
18.10.2024 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 0-2 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
20.05.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
08.11.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-2 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POLK
04.11.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL

Lechia Gdansk 1-2 Legia Varşova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1-2
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.03 xG 1.53
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
373 Passes 186
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova squeezed past Lechia Gdansk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lechia Gdansk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 62% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 38%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.03 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 1.67 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Varşova?

Lechia Gdansk 1-2 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 44%, draw 25%, Legia Varşova 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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