Piast Gliwice 1-3 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 27% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.39
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
10%
12.85
X/1
14%
5.23
X/2
16%
6.1
X/X
10%
4.39
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.29
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.37/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.39
-26% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
23.1 Crosses 14.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 0.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
275 Passes 348
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-3 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
08.03.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-3 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
30.08.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
27.02.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POLK
17.02.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
11.08.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1-3
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
2.89 xG 0.70
67% Ball Possession 33%
31 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 0
426 Passes 187
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
80 Box Touches 9
47 Crosses 0
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa beat Piast Gliwice 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Rakow Czestochowa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 67% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 33%, shots finished 31-6, expected goals 2.89 to 0.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Piast Gliwice.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.33 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Piast Gliwice 1-3 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 37%, draw 25%, Rakow Czestochowa 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
17 May 2026
15:45 Katowice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Analysis →
18:30 Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Varşova Analysis →