Novi Pazar 2-2 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.47/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.33
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.9 Crosses 16.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 329
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2026 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
02.11.2025 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
17.03.2025 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-1 HT 1-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
26.10.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 0-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
18.05.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-1 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
10.02.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-2 HT 2-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-2
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
0.99 xG 1.18
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
223 Passes 478
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 13
10 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar and Zeleznicar Pancevo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Novi Pazar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 35% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 65%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.99 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.33 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Novi Pazar 2-2 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 44%, draw 24%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Novi Pazar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ BTTS Yes
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