Atletico Nacional 0-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 17 Jun 2025

📅17/06/2025 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.24/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.35
+24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
17.1 Crosses 14.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Millonarios
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.98 xG 0.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
293 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.06.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
14.04.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
03.12.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
30.11.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
25.07.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
12.02.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
0-1
AWAY Millonarios
1.06 xG 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
342 Passes 215
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios nicked a narrow win over Atletico Nacional 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Nacional at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 61% of the ball to Millonarios's 39%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.06 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.83 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios?

Atletico Nacional 0-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 45%, draw 28%, Millonarios 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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