Santa Fe vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Santa Fe 1-0 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Once Caldas 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Santa Fe had 45% of the ball to Once Caldas's 55%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.10 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Santa Fe's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santa Fe and 0.33 for Once Caldas.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Once Caldas?
Santa Fe 1-0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Once Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 47%, draw 29%, Once Caldas 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.