CFR Cluj 3-0 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
27%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.21
Over
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No Pick
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.15
2-3
39%
1.85
4-5
25%
2.86
6+
9%
8.37
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.15 — our 27% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
69%
-21.3pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.2pp
27%
Away Win
12%
+15.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CFR Cluj The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE The Market 15%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
3.04/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/2.01
+32% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CFR Cluj
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Paksi SE
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.83 xG 0.27
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
350 Passes 212
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-0 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CFR Cluj
3-0
AWAY Paksi SE
1.09 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
230 Passes 216
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CFR Cluj vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CFR Cluj ran out comfortable winners over Paksi SE 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CFR Cluj as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CFR Cluj had 49% of the ball to Paksi SE's 51%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.09 to 1.35.

What was the final score of CFR Cluj vs Paksi SE?

CFR Cluj 3-0 Paksi SE in the UEFA Europa League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CFR Cluj vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CFR Cluj 47%, draw 25%, Paksi SE 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CFR Cluj), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CFR Cluj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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