Prishtina 2-1 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.95
Over
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No Pick
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.38
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.26
6+
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.38 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prishtina The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff The Market 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +90%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prishtina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Sheriff
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.07.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-0 HT 2-0 Prishtina Prishtina AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prishtina
2-1
AWAY FC Sheriff
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Prishtina vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prishtina nicked a narrow win over FC Sheriff 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Prishtina made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Prishtina had 59% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 41%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Prishtina vs FC Sheriff?

Prishtina 2-1 FC Sheriff in the UEFA Europa League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prishtina vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated a Prishtina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Prishtina 37%, draw 26%, FC Sheriff 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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