Ilves Tampere 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
5.09
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
41%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
2.38
Over
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.75
2-3
46%
1.92
4-5
24%
2.68
6+
10%
6.88
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.75 — our 20% vs market 15.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
17%
+14.4pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.5pp
41%
Away Win
63%
-21.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk The Market 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
10.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 6-0 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
0-0
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere and Shakhtar Donetsk played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Shakhtar Donetsk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 39% of the ball to Shakhtar Donetsk's 61%, shots finished 3-20.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Ilves Tampere 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk in the UEFA Europa League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 31%, draw 28%, Shakhtar Donetsk 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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