Celje 3-3 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 17 Jul 2025

Celje
3-3 HT 1-1
Sabah
📅17/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
2.21
Over
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.56
No Pick
56%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
31%
4.25
2-3
41%
1.86
4-5
20%
2.82
6+
8%
8.09
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.25 — our 31% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-16.5pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah The Market 29%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-43% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sabah
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.07.2025 Sabah Sabah 2-3 HT 2-1 Celje Celje AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
3-3
AWAY Sabah
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celje vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje and Sabah shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Celje at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Celje had 60% of the ball to Sabah's 40%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Celje vs Sabah?

Celje 3-3 Sabah in the UEFA Europa League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Celje 47%, draw 24%, Sabah 29%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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