Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-1 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.59
Over
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.37
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
23%
4.63
6+
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia The Market 25%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.05/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.38
+16% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.07.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva AVL
17.08.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-1 HT 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva AVKL
10.08.2023 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
1-1
AWAY Levski Sofia
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Beer Sheva and Levski Sofia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hapoel Beer Sheva at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hapoel Beer Sheva had 54% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 46%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 0.67 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Levski Sofia?

Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-1 Levski Sofia in the UEFA Europa League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Beer Sheva 46%, draw 29%, Levski Sofia 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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