Sporting Cristal 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 17 Jul 2026

📅17/07/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.33
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
9%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.03
Over 2.5
62%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
71%
+4.6pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.1pp
8%
Away Win
11%
-2.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
45%
-7.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
55%
+7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +31%
2.20/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.89
+26% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +33%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
24.9 Crosses 10.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.04 xG 0.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
360 Passes 215
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2026 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
20.10.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
15.06.2025 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
17.09.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
16.04.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 2-3 HT 1-3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
13.08.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.39 xG 0.60
16 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
448 Passes 182
36 Box Touches 12
39 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sporting Cristal edged past Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 in the Peru - Premier League on 17 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.39 to 0.60.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal have the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting Cristal and 0.83 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Sporting Cristal 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 75%, draw 16%, Deportivo Garcilaso 8%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✗ Over 2.5
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