Rochdale 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 33% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
2.82
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.4
X/1
23%
4.54
X/2
11%
7.02
X/X
13%
4.57
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.21
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.64/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.32
+6% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 1-2 HT 1-2 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
25.11.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-2 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
01.02.2014 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İN2
26.10.2013 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
12.01.2013 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
22.09.2012 Rochdale Rochdale 2-2 HT 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
1-1
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale and Dagenham & Redbridge couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Rochdale had 59% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 41%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rochdale and 1.83 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Rochdale 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 39%, draw 30%, Dagenham & Redbridge 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rochdale), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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